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‘Not all that significant’

Posted by Ataman Rakin | in Politics, Religion | on April 26th, 2006
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Eurasianet has a discussion recap on the so-called ‘Islamist threat in Uzbekistan (IMU and Hizb-ut-Tahrir in particular). Some of the points have already popped up on this blog, yet…

Authoritarian-minded leaders have continued to portray the radical groups as a major security threat to justify political clampdowns, Khamidov said. By “painting them [radical groups] as a threat,” Central Asian leaders, especially Uzbekistan’s Islam Karimov, have been able to “target political opponent and postpone much needed reform.” Khamidov estimated that about 11 percent of the Uzbek population holds radical Islamic views, but added that only about half of those radicals favor the establishment of an Islamic state in Uzbekistan.

An interesting point, in my opinion, is this…

In recent months, regional residents frustrated by declining living standards have tended to shun radical groups in favor of so-called jamiyats – described by Abramson as “Islamic self-help organizations.” In English jamiyat is translated as meaning either “society” or “association.” In the Central Asian context, jamiyats have formed in order to plug wide gaps in government safety nets in some Central Asian states, especially Uzbekistan. Abramson explained that jamiyats provide “social welfare - extending employment to families.” According to Khamidov, these groups are not militant and “don’t want the establishment of an Islamic state. What they want is a greater role for Islamic values in society.”

Increasingly, officials have come to view the economic work of jamiyats as a threat to their political positions. Karimov in particular has attempted to portray jamiyats as extremist in orientation, intending to disband the organizations and tighten his grip on power.

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3 Responses to this post.

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Comments

  1. Laurence said,

    on April 28th, 2006 at 4:46 pm

    Well, the Eurasianet version of what was said leaves out a lot that Ambramson and Khamidov discussed. In my opinion, it is misleading at best and dishonest at worst. For an honest discussion to take place, people need to listen to the audio download of the panel discussion and note some important points.

    For example:

    * Khamidov stated that there was a reduced threat from Islamic extremists in the region due to three primary factors: (1) effective repression by Central Asian governments; (2) emigration of young men (”the usual suspects” ) to work in Russia; (3) internal squabbles among extremist groups.

    Khamidov is no defender of Karimov. He noted that his sister is married to a member of a Jamoyat, and charged he was wrongly accused of terrorism by Uzbekistan and had his American visa delayed as a result of the mixup.

    *Abramson, on the other hand, appeared not to see a problem because he is not a secularist and apparently unlike Khamidov does not object to Islamism per se. He concluded his talk by stating that he believed that Uzbekistan would come under Sha’aria after Karimov leaves power, so long as Karimov cannot appoint his own successor. Abramson and Eurasia might not think this outcome to be “significant,” however most non-Islamists would find the imposition of Islamic law in a secular, modernizing, post-Soviet state to be a significant development. (It’s not going to happen, IMHO, because most Central Asians are closer in attitude to Khamidov than Abramson).

    While Soros-OSI is to be congratulated for holding the forum and making the discussion available on the internet, Eurasianet’s summary is neither accurate, nor complete. In fairness to Eursianet readers, they might do well to post a complete transcript of this “significant” discussion.

  2. Laurence said,

    on April 28th, 2006 at 4:59 pm

    I might add that Khamidov said that improving economic conditions are another factor in declining support for Islamist extremism in Central Asia.

    For the record, Khamidov said he is a secularist.

  3. Ataman Rakin said,

    on May 1st, 2006 at 9:51 am

    People can listen to the whole panel session (about 1.5 hours) here: http://www.soros.org/initiatives/cep/events/ferghana_2006_0404/

    Yes, the recap is not covering all points. Yet that does not diminishes the relevance of some of the points that are represented.

    For the record, Khamidov also pointed to the social capital that Islamic faith-based groups (not always the same as ‘Islamist’) have, especially reg. to smoothing ethnic tensions.

    “Uzbekistan would come under Sha’aria after Karimov leaves power, so long as Karimov cannot appoint his own successor.”

    Yes, this is quite improbable.

    In fact, the ‘Karimov-or-the-Shariah’ mantra (I do not say Abramson prones that yet it exists) has been the prime alibi through which the rogue regime in Tashkent has been legitimizing itself since the mid-90s.

    Once the karimovites and their cronies are driven out, it is most likely that Islam will be more ‘visible’ and socially active in Uzbekistan, at least in some parts and among certain coats of society; but that is not necessarily ‘extremism’ or ‘Shariah rule’.

    Or is it?

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